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Themes

  • Key Themes
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Central Banking
  • Climate Change
  • Competition Policy
  • Development & Growth
  • Economic History
  • Energy
  • EU Economic Architecture
  • Inflation
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Discussion paper

DP20822 We Think That They Think: Political Affiliation and Higher-Order Beliefs

  • Rupal Kamdar
  • Walker Ray
  • Mauricio Ulate

9 Nov 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • Political Economy
  • D84
  • E31
  • E37
  • E7
Discussion paper

DP20806 Overconfidence in Private Information Explains Biases in Professional Forecasts

  • Klaus Adam
  • Pei Kuang
  • Shihan Xie

2 Nov 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • C53
  • D83
  • D84
  • E31
Discussion paper

DP20724 A Simple Model of Geopolitical Risk and Sanctions

  • Vivien Lewis
  • Sirikorn Puangjit

10 Oct 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • E31
  • E32
  • E58
  • F42
  • F51
Discussion paper

DP20717 How Do Rising Temperatures Affect Inflation Expectations?

  • Dimitris Georgarakos
  • Geoff Kenny
  • Justus Meyer
  • Maarten van Rooij

6 Oct 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • Macroeconomics and Growth
  • Public Economics
  • Climate Change and the Environment
  • D12
  • E31
  • E52
  • H31
  • Q54
Discussion paper

DP20605 Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades

  • Mishel Ghassibe
  • Anton Nakov

1 Sep 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • E31
  • E32
Discussion paper

DP20597 Does the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Help to Explain the US Economy?

  • Vo Phuong Mai Le
  • David Meenagh
  • Patrick Minford
  • Michael R. Wickens

28 Aug 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • E31
  • E61
  • E62
  • E63
Discussion paper

DP20599 Fiscal Requirements for Price Stability When Households are not Ricardian

  • Stéphane Dupraz
  • Anna Rogantini Picco

28 Aug 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • E31
  • E62
Discussion paper

DP20589 The Price of Delay: Supply Chain Disruptions and Pricing Dynamics

  • Salomé Baslandze
  • Simon Fuchs

22 Aug 2025
  • International Trade and Regional Economics
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • Macroeconomics and Growth
  • E31
  • F14
Discussion paper

DP20577 Granular Markups and Inflation Surge: The Role of Managerial Incentives

  • Yuchen Chen
  • Juliana Salomao
  • Varun Sharma
  • Yicheng Wang

15 Aug 2025
  • Asset Pricing
  • E31
  • G23
  • G32
Discussion paper

DP20574 Inflation Factors

  • Danilo Leiva-Leon
  • Slavik Sheremirov
  • Jenny Tang
  • Egon Zakrajšek

15 Aug 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • C11
  • C32
  • E31
Discussion paper

DP20489 Monetary Policy in the Euro Area, when Phillips Curves ... are Curves

  • Guido Ascari
  • Alexandre Carrier
  • Emanuel Gasteiger
  • Alex Grimaud
  • Gauthier Vermandel

24 Jul 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • C51
  • E31
  • E47
  • E52
Discussion paper

DP20442 Nonparametric Mixed Frequency Monitoring Macro-at-Risk

  • Massimiliano Marcellino
  • Michael Pfarrhofer

9 Jul 2025
  • Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
  • C11
  • C22
  • C53
  • E31
  • E37
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