Discussion paper DP20822 We Think That They Think: Political Affiliation and Higher-Order Beliefs Rupal Kamdar Walker Ray Mauricio Ulate 9 Nov 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations Political Economy D84 E31 E37 E7
Discussion paper DP20806 Overconfidence in Private Information Explains Biases in Professional Forecasts Klaus Adam Pei Kuang Shihan Xie 2 Nov 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C53 D83 D84 E31
Discussion paper DP20724 A Simple Model of Geopolitical Risk and Sanctions Vivien Lewis Sirikorn Puangjit 10 Oct 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 E32 E58 F42 F51
Discussion paper DP20717 How Do Rising Temperatures Affect Inflation Expectations? Dimitris Georgarakos Geoff Kenny Justus Meyer Maarten van Rooij 6 Oct 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations Macroeconomics and Growth Public Economics Climate Change and the Environment D12 E31 E52 H31 Q54
Discussion paper DP20605 Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades Mishel Ghassibe Anton Nakov 1 Sep 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 E32
Discussion paper DP20597 Does the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Help to Explain the US Economy? Vo Phuong Mai Le David Meenagh Patrick Minford Michael R. Wickens 28 Aug 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 E61 E62 E63
Discussion paper DP20599 Fiscal Requirements for Price Stability When Households are not Ricardian Stéphane Dupraz Anna Rogantini Picco 28 Aug 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E31 E62
Discussion paper DP20589 The Price of Delay: Supply Chain Disruptions and Pricing Dynamics Salomé Baslandze Simon Fuchs 22 Aug 2025 International Trade and Regional Economics Monetary Economics and Fluctuations Macroeconomics and Growth E31 F14
Discussion paper DP20577 Granular Markups and Inflation Surge: The Role of Managerial Incentives Yuchen Chen Juliana Salomao Varun Sharma Yicheng Wang 15 Aug 2025 Asset Pricing E31 G23 G32
Discussion paper DP20574 Inflation Factors Danilo Leiva-Leon Slavik Sheremirov Jenny Tang Egon Zakrajšek 15 Aug 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C32 E31
Discussion paper DP20489 Monetary Policy in the Euro Area, when Phillips Curves ... are Curves Guido Ascari Alexandre Carrier Emanuel Gasteiger Alex Grimaud Gauthier Vermandel 24 Jul 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C51 E31 E47 E52
Discussion paper DP20442 Nonparametric Mixed Frequency Monitoring Macro-at-Risk Massimiliano Marcellino Michael Pfarrhofer 9 Jul 2025 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C22 C53 E31 E37